Why you shouldn’t buy an RTX 4090 on release day

Nvidia’s new monster GPU, and RTX 4090It will come on October 12th. I wouldn’t blame you if you already have a few browser tabs open to pick one up as soon as it’s available. After all, the last time we were standing on the edge of a new GPU generation, it ran out of cards in seconds and stayed that way for about two years.

But this version will be different. Despite the excitement of the next generation of GPUs, I wouldn’t buy one on day one, and I’m here to suggest you resist the urge too.

noise train (with context)

Hand holding an RTX 4090 GPU.
Jacob Roach / Digital Trends

Advertising for anything means one thing – brokers. From concert tickets to sneakers to GPUs, if there is a lot of demand and limited supply (as is always the case for high-end graphics cards), exploiters will take advantage and try to grab as many as possible. These days, there are so many tools out there to help speculators take control, and that might make you think you need to make the first move.

Anyone reading this column knows about robots – even the US government knows, with procedures like The Green Bots Act Do the rounds – but it’s important to put a name on the face. Excellent AIO It is a popular tool that supports a variety of websites that contain much needed products including clothing, shoes, and electronics. It specifically supports AMD and EVGA, which stand out as a sore thumb among direct sellers like Yeezy and Topps.

I’d like to avoid linking directly to many of these bots, but a quick Google search will reveal dozens of scalping tools, as well as supporting articles that explain how much GPUs can be had. You’ll also find many forum posts like this one at Linus Tech Tips . ForumGamers are even considering building (or buying) a bot to secure their GPU.

The excitement of the launch will subside and the speculators will move on to more profitable projects.

The robot discussion has vanished GPU pricing It started back to normal. But don’t count the bots. With the RTX 4090 fast approaching, the tools and demand are there for speculators to jump in and buy as much stock as possible. after every thing, Scalpers have made more than $60 million in profit On the RTX 30 series cards for the first four months were on the market, and any seller would like to return to that well.

But a lot different this time. Bots are sure to come, and speculators are all guaranteed to raise prices in the flea market, but the excitement of the launch will subside and speculators will move on to more profitable ventures. And that’s because with this generation, we don’t have a massive shortage of silicon to contend with.

Prepare for deficiency will not come

If you missed the RTX 30 series launch, you may have pushed yourself not to spam the F5 key for a list price card. And you may have felt the defeat of mid-2021 surrounding the high GPU prices. I’ve heard it countless times: “I’ll wait until 40 series come out.” You don’t have to turn to a bot or press a keyboard to get a GPU of this generation.

It probably looks a lot like we’re heading into another shortfall when the RTX 4090 is released, but give it time.

We are no longer dealing with a file GPU deficiency – If there’s anything, we You have GPU surplus now. The past few generations have brought short-term deficits as exploits take advantage of those set as early adopters, and the RTX 40 series is likely no different. Unlike the previous generation, this short-term demand will not lead to long-term deficits with compounding factors such as tariffs and component shortages.

It probably looks a lot like we’re heading into another shortfall when the RTX 4090 is released, but give it time. The factors that led to the GPU shortage in the last generation are not present this time around.

RTX 4090 sitting at a table.
Jacob Roach / Digital Trends

Moreover, the demand from crypto miners will not be nearly as fierce. Ethereum, which makes up the lion’s share of GPU mining, has moved to Proof of Stake — mining is a thing of the past, at least for this coin. Don’t underestimate the impact of mining on GPU demand. In the first half of 2021, Some estimates A quarter of GPU sales came from miners.

With low encryption and supply chain factors Help solve GPU shortage mostlyThe only reason to buy an RTX 4090 on release day is if you really need the card right away or don’t care if it’s too expensive. I imagine most people reading this don’t fall into either camp. Even if you want the best GPU, don’t resort to paying scalper prices. They won’t last long.

win by default

The RTX 4090 and RTX 3090 sit at a table side by side.
Jacob Roach / Digital Trends

Comparative performance is another reason to hold off on the first day. Rest assured, I am working hard on our RTX 4090 review, and will be sharing my results as soon as possible. Even before there was a single benchmark, it’s easy to see that the RTX 4090 would win by default – at least in terms of raw performance.

It is the first card in a new generation, and the most powerful of the Nvidia cards currently announced. Without any competition from AMD, the RTX 4090 will almost certainly top every performance chart automatically. There is nothing reasonably comparable except for the previous generation.

We already know that the (relatively) cheaper RTX 4080 16GB and RTX 4080 12GB will arrive in November, and AMD is slated to Launching the next generation of GPUs On the 3rd of November. It is a situation similar to AMD’s Ryzen 7000 and Intel’s Raptor Lake With the launches stacked closely together, it’s worth waiting at least a few weeks to get a full picture of how the next generation will perform.

Even if the RTX 4090 is all that Nvidia promised and more, taking the time to figure out how the competing cards stack up is a very good idea.

It’s usually best to upgrade your computer and make building decisions based on what’s available at the time, rather than what might be available in the future. But with these launches approaching, waiting is the best option.

The next generation is sexy. It’s good to hold on to that excitement, but don’t let the past two years of GPU price hikes and constant shortages guide your buying decisions – as always, performance, pricing, and features are what really matter, and there’s a lot to talk about on that front in the coming weeks. .

This article is part of risbeck – An ongoing biweekly column that includes in-depth discussions, tips, and reports on the technology behind computer games.

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